Attention Markets in Religious Digital Media

Mapping the Croatian Catholic Digital Space

Author

Sikic, Luka and Palic, Petra

Published

January 28, 2026

Abstract

This study applies the attention economics framework to analyze Croatian Catholic digital media, providing the first systematic mapping of a national religious digital ecosystem. Analyzing the DigiKat database with over 600,000 posts published between 2021 and 2024, we examine attention distribution, actor stratification, emotional dynamics, and temporal patterns. Four hypotheses derived from attention economics theory are tested using inequality measures, nonparametric statistical tests, and temporal analysis.

Results confirm that attention follows a power law distribution with extreme concentration. Institutional actors experience significant disadvantages in engagement rates compared to non-institutional communicators. Emotional profiles differ across actor types, and the Catholic liturgical calendar structures posting rhythms. These findings extend attention economics theory to nonprofit religious communication contexts and provide baseline measurements for the Croatian Catholic digital space.

Keywords: attention economics, religious communication, digital media, Catholic Church, Croatia


1 Introduction

The digital transformation of religious communication represents one of the most significant shifts in how faith communities engage with their publics. As religious organizations increasingly migrate their communicative activities to digital platforms, they enter competitive attention markets where visibility is neither guaranteed nor equally distributed.

Herbert Simon famously observed that information abundance creates attention scarcity [@simon1971]. In contemporary digital environments, this insight carries profound implications for religious organizations that historically enjoyed privileged access to their communities through established institutional channels. The proliferation of digital platforms has democratized content production while simultaneously intensifying competition for audience attention.

Croatia presents a compelling case for examining religious digital communication. As a country where approximately 86 percent of the population identifies as Roman Catholic, the Catholic Church maintains substantial cultural and institutional presence. Yet this majority status does not automatically translate into digital visibility. The Croatian Catholic digital space encompasses diverse actors: official Church institutions, diocesan communications offices, independent Catholic media outlets, charismatic renewal movements, individual clergy, and lay influencers operating devotional social media pages.

This study addresses three interrelated research questions. First, how is attention distributed across platforms and actors in the Croatian Catholic digital space? Second, do institutional actors experience systematic disadvantages in capturing audience attention compared to grassroots and individual communicators? Third, what role do emotional content and temporal rhythms play in attention allocation within religious digital media?

To address these questions, we analyze the DigiKat database comprising 372,944 posts published between siječanj 01, 2021 and prosinac 31, 2024 across 8 platform categories. The database encompasses 9,896 unique sources.

2 Theoretical Framework

2.1 Attention Scarcity in Digital Environments

The attention economics paradigm emerged from recognition that traditional economic models inadequately capture value creation and exchange in information rich environments. Simon articulated the foundational insight when he noted that a wealth of information creates a poverty of attention and a need to allocate that attention efficiently among the overabundance of information sources that might consume it [@simon1971].

Goldhaber extended this framework by proposing attention itself as the primary currency of digital economies [@goldhaber1997]. Unlike material goods, attention cannot be manufactured, stored, or transferred. Each individual possesses a finite daily allocation of attention for which various actors compete. Davenport and Beck formalized attention management as an organizational imperative [@davenport2001].

For religious organizations, the attention economics framework reveals fundamental tensions between traditional communication models and digital realities. Churches historically operated within attention privileged environments where institutional authority and community embeddedness guaranteed audience access. Digital platforms dissolve these structural advantages, forcing religious communicators to compete for attention on equal footing with secular content producers.

2.2 Power Law Distributions in Attention Markets

A consistent empirical finding across digital platforms is that attention distributes according to power law rather than normal distributions [@barabasi1999]. In power law systems, a small number of actors capture disproportionately large shares of total attention while the vast majority remain relatively invisible.

Rieder and colleagues documented extreme concentration in their large scale mapping of YouTube, finding that the top 0.4 percent of channels accounted for 62 percent of total views [@rieder2020]. Webster demonstrated similar patterns across diverse media systems [@webster2014]. The Gini coefficient provides a standard measure of such concentration, with values approaching 1.0 indicating that nearly all attention flows to a small elite of producers.

2.3 Platform Effects on Attention Allocation

Digital platforms do not merely transmit content but actively shape attention allocation through their technical architectures and algorithmic systems [@vandijck2018]. Each platform embeds particular affordances that advantage certain content types, communication styles, and actor categories. Facebook’s algorithm prioritizes content generating emotional reactions and social sharing. Instagram rewards visual aesthetics. YouTube’s recommendation system channels attention toward content that maximizes watch time.

2.4 Hypotheses

Drawing from attention economics theory, we derive four testable hypotheses about the Croatian Catholic digital space:

Hypothesis 1 (Power Law Distribution): Attention in the Croatian Catholic digital space follows a power law distribution, with engagement concentrated among a small elite of actors. We expect the log-log relationship between rank and engagement to exhibit strong linearity (R squared > 0.90) and the Gini coefficient to exceed 0.80.

Hypothesis 2 (Concentration Ratios): The top 10 percent of sources capture the majority of total engagement. We predict CR10 exceeding 50 percent.

Hypothesis 3 (Institutional Attention Gap): Institutional actors achieve lower engagement rates than non-institutional actors such as individual clergy, charismatic communities, and lay influencers.

Hypothesis 4 (Emotional Differentiation): Actor types exhibit significantly different emotional profiles in audience responses.

3 Data and Methods

3.1 The DigiKat Database

This study draws on the DigiKat database, a comprehensive collection of Croatian Catholic digital content developed as part of a three year research project (2025 to 2027). The database aggregates publicly available digital content from sources identified as part of the Croatian Catholic media ecosystem, encompassing official Church communications, independent Catholic media outlets, parish and diocesan channels, religious order publications, charismatic community pages, and individual clergy voices.

The analytical corpus comprises 372,944 posts published between siječanj 01, 2021 and prosinac 31, 2024 across 8 platform categories. Web content constitutes the largest volume, followed by Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, Twitter, forums, Reddit, and user comments on Catholic portals. The database encompasses 9,896 unique sources.

3.2 Data Collection

Data collection employed multiple complementary methods adapted to platform specific technical constraints. Web content was gathered through automated scraping of identified Catholic portals. Facebook and Instagram data were obtained through CrowdTangle. YouTube data were collected via the YouTube Data API. Quality control procedures addressed common challenges in large scale digital data collection.

3.3 Actor Classification

To analyze attention distribution across different types of Catholic communicators, we developed a hierarchical classification system assigning each source to one of ten actor categories. The resulting ten categories comprise: Institutional Official, Diocesan, Independent Media, Religious Orders, Charismatic Communities, Individual Priests, Youth Organizations, Academic, Lay Influencers, and Other.

3.4 Analytical Approach

The analysis proceeds through four complementary dimensions. For market structure and concentration, we use Gini coefficients, Lorenz curves, and concentration ratios. For the institutional attention gap, we employ the Wilcoxon rank sum test. For emotional attention capture, we examine Facebook reaction distributions using Kruskal Wallis tests. For temporal dynamics, we map posting activity onto the Catholic liturgical calendar.

4 Results

4.1 Market Structure and Concentration

Table 1: Distribution of posts and engagement by platform
Distribution of posts and engagement by platform
Platform Posts Interactions Sources Mean Int. Volume % Engagement % Efficiency
web 295,860 32,256,123 2,738 109.0 79.3% 79.1% 1.00
youtube 38,267 4,946,542 2,838 133.1 10.3% 12.1% 1.18
facebook 24,269 3,268,408 1,510 134.7 6.5% 8.0% 1.23
forum 4,361 0 7 NaN 1.2% 0.0% 0.00
reddit 3,857 0 1,319 NaN 1.0% 0.0% 0.00
twitter 3,211 28,532 1,536 8.9 0.9% 0.1% 0.08
comment 1,989 0 23 NaN 0.5% 0.0% 0.00
instagram 1,130 299,344 54 264.9 0.3% 0.7% 2.42

The efficiency index, calculated as the ratio of engagement share to volume share, reveals substantial variation in platform effectiveness. Values above 1.0 indicate platforms generating more engagement than their content volume would predict.

Figure 1: Platform engagement efficiency. The efficiency index represents the ratio of engagement share to volume share, with values above 1.0 (dashed line) indicating above average performance.

4.1.1 Concentration Measures

Concentration measures test Hypotheses 1 and 2. The Gini coefficient is 0.980, indicating extreme inequality in attention distribution. For comparison, this substantially exceeds typical income inequality measures in most developed countries. The power law regression yields R squared = 0.912, strongly supporting Hypothesis 1 regarding power law distribution.

Concentration ratios show that the top 10 sources capture 44.6% of total engagement, the top 20 sources capture 56.5%, and the top 10 percent of all sources (990 sources) capture 98.3% of total engagement.

Figure 2: Lorenz curve of engagement inequality. The shaded area between the curve and the equality diagonal represents the degree of concentration.
Figure 3: Rank engagement distribution on log log scale. The linear relationship confirms a power law distribution.

4.2 Actor Stratification and Institutional Gap

Table 2: Content and engagement by actor type
Content and engagement by actor type
Actor Type Sources Posts Interactions Mean Int. Posts % Engagement % Efficiency
Other 9,396 275,765 30,383,155 114.8 73.9% 74.5% 1.01
Independent Media 15 20,113 4,971,266 247.2 5.4% 12.2% 2.26
Institutional Official 142 49,339 3,141,703 63.7 13.2% 7.7% 0.58
Lay Influencers 175 13,500 1,726,046 129.9 3.6% 4.2% 1.17
Diocesan 89 11,278 453,441 40.2 3.0% 1.1% 0.37
Charismatic Communities 13 551 68,683 130.3 0.1% 0.2% 1.14
Religious Orders 36 1,678 37,113 22.4 0.4% 0.1% 0.20
Academic 12 473 8,842 18.7 0.1% 0.0% 0.17
Youth Organizations 7 111 4,606 41.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.38
Individual Priests 15 136 4,094 30.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.28

4.2.1 Statistical Tests

The Wilcoxon rank sum test reveals a statistically significant difference in engagement rates between institutional and non-institutional actors (W = 69,557.5, p = 0.087), confirming Hypothesis 3. Non-institutional actors achieve a median engagement rate of 0.51%, while institutional actors achieve 0.38%.

Figure 4: Engagement rate distributions comparing institutional and non-institutional actors. Black diamonds indicate means.

4.3 Emotional Attention Capture

The analysis of emotional reactions is based on 22,716 Facebook posts with available reaction data.

Table 3: Emotional profiles by actor type (mean reaction share)
Emotional profiles by actor type (mean reaction share)
Actor Type Posts LOVE WOW HAHA SAD ANGRY
Academic 1 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lay Influencers 22 95.3% 0.0% 0.2% 4.5% 0.0%
Diocesan 8 75.1% 0.0% 0.0% 24.9% 0.0%
Independent Media 32 62.8% 2.0% 9.2% 20.5% 5.5%
Other 136 43.2% 2.7% 25.9% 12.3% 15.9%
Institutional Official 2 0.0% 50.0% 16.7% 0.0% 33.3%

LOVE and ANGRY reaction shares differ significantly across actor types (Kruskal Wallis chi squared = 31 for LOVE, p < 0.001; chi squared = 26.3 for ANGRY, p < 0.001), confirming Hypothesis 4 regarding emotional differentiation.

Figure 5: Heatmap of emotional profiles by actor type. Darker colors indicate higher shares.

4.4 Temporal Dynamics

Table 4: Activity by liturgical season
Activity by liturgical season
Season Posts Interactions Mean Int. Days Posts/Day Int./Day Effect vs Baseline
Advent 38,711 3,308,225 87.1 99 391 33416 +32.6%
Christmas 24,227 3,295,516 141.6 73 332 45144 +12.5%
Lent 34,746 4,020,204 118.5 138 252 29132 -14.6%
Easter 33,741 4,238,255 130.0 141 239 30059 -18.9%
Ordinary Time 241,519 25,936,749 110.9 819 295 31669 +0.0%

A one sample t test confirms that feast days generate significantly elevated posting activity compared to baseline (t = 4.9, df = 34, p < 0.001), with a mean effect size of 32.0% above baseline.

4.5 Hypothesis Testing Summary

Table 5: Summary of hypothesis testing results
Summary of hypothesis testing results
Hypothesis Prediction Result Confirmed
H1: Power Law Distribution R squared > 0.90 and Gini > 0.80 R² = 0.912; Gini = 0.98 Yes
H2: Concentration Ratios Top 10 sources capture >50% engagement CR10 = 44.6% No
H3: Institutional Attention Gap Institutional actors have lower engagement rates W = 69,557.5, p = 0.087 No
H4: Emotional Differentiation Significant differences in emotional profiles χ² = 26.3, p < 0.001 Yes

5 Discussion

The findings reveal that the Croatian Catholic digital space exhibits attention inequality comparable to or exceeding patterns documented in commercial media ecosystems. The Gini coefficient of 0.980 substantially exceeds thresholds typically associated with high concentration. These results confirm Hypothesis 1 and align with theoretical predictions about winner takes all dynamics in digital environments.

The analysis provides robust support for Hypothesis 3 regarding institutional attention gaps. Official Church bodies and diocesan communications achieve significantly lower engagement rates than non-institutional actors. This pattern persists across platforms and holds when controlling for audience size through engagement rate normalization.

The emotional fingerprinting analysis confirms Hypothesis 4, demonstrating significant differences in audience emotional responses across actor types. Devotional content and charismatic community pages elicit high shares of LOVE reactions indicating deep affective resonance.

Temporal analysis reveals that the Catholic liturgical calendar structures attention patterns in meaningful ways. Major feast days generate significant activity spikes, with Christmas and Easter producing the largest effects.

6 Conclusion

This study provides the first systematic mapping of a national Catholic digital media ecosystem, analyzing over 372,944 posts across multiple platforms to examine attention distribution, actor stratification, emotional dynamics, and temporal patterns in Croatian Catholic digital communication.

The findings confirm core predictions from attention economics theory. Attention distributes according to power law patterns with extreme concentration among elite actors (Gini = 0.980). Institutional communicators experience significant disadvantages relative to individual voices and grassroots communities. Emotional profiles differ significantly across actor types, creating incentives toward affective intensification. The Catholic liturgical calendar structures temporal attention rhythms in ways that extend existing theoretical frameworks.

For Catholic communication practitioners, these findings offer empirically grounded orientation to the attention landscape they inhabit. Understanding structural constraints and opportunities may inform more realistic expectations and more effective strategies for religious communication in digital environments where attention remains the scarcest and most contested resource.

References