class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide # Lecture 7 ## Environmental policy with pre-existing distortions ### Ivan Rudik ### AEM 6510 --- exclude: true ```r if (!require("pacman")) install.packages("pacman") pacman::p_load( tidyverse, tidylog, xaringanExtra, rlang, patchwork ) options(htmltools.dir.version = FALSE) knitr::opts_hooks$set(fig.callout = function(options) { if (options$fig.callout) { options$echo <- FALSE } knitr::opts_chunk$set(echo = TRUE, fig.align="center") options }) ``` ``` ## Warning: 'xaringanExtra::style_panelset' is deprecated. ## Use 'style_panelset_tabs' instead. ## See help("Deprecated") ``` ``` ## Warning in style_panelset_tabs(...): The arguments to `syle_panelset()` changed in xaringanExtra 0.1.0. Please refer to the ## documentation to update your slides. ``` --- # Roadmap So far we have looked at single sector economies with: - Pollution distortions - Competitive markets - Market power distortions -- Now we will learn about multi-sector economies How does environmental policy spillover into these other sectors? How does environmental policy interact with revenue-raising taxes (e.g. income taxes)? --- # Environmental policy with leisure First we extend the model so that labor supply is .hi-blue[elastic] - Households have a choice of either working or leisure time -- To focus on the key intuition we assume: `\(^1\)` - There is a representative (single) firm - There is a representative household -- This allows us to treat individual and aggregate behavior the same .footnote[1: The underlying critical assumption is that utility and profit functions take what's called a Gorman form.] --- # Environmental policy with leisure Define the following: - `\(X\)` is consumption of the polluting good - `\(Z\)` is consumption of the *numeraire* good (i.e. the relative good) - `\(N\)` is the hours of leisure time - `\(E\)` is aggregate emissions -- Utility is then: `$$U(X,Z,N,E) = U(X,N) + Z - D(E)$$` -- where `\(U_{XX}, U_{NN} < 0\)` and `\(U_{XX}U_{NN}-U_{NX}^2 > 0\)` and the person is endowed with some amount of time `\(T\)` to allocate between work and leisure --- # Environmental policy with leisure Wages earned by the household are `\(w\)`, and we assume demand for labor is perfectly elastic -- i.e. demand is horizontal at `\(w\)` -- Household income is then: `\(w\cdot(T-N)\)` -- We can now write the households utility maximization problem as: `$$\max_{X,N,Z} U(X,Z,N,E) = U(X,N) + Z - D(E) \\ \text{ subject to: } \,\,\,\, w\cdot(T-N) = Z + pX$$` Substitute the budget constraint in for `\(Z\)` to get an unconstrained problem --- # Environmental policy with leisure We can substitute the budget constraint in for `\(Z\)` to get an unconstrained problem: `$$\max_{X,N} U(X,Z,N,E) = U(X,N) + w\cdot(T-N) - pX - D(E)$$` -- with FOCs: `$$U_X = p \qquad U_N = w$$` which implicitly define the demand function for consumption `\(X(p,w)\)` and the demand function for leisure `\(N(p,w)\)` --- # Environmental policy with leisure How do choices of `\(X,N\)` respond to a change in price `\(p\)`? -- Differentiate both FOCs with respect to p: -- `$$U_{XX} {\partial X \over \partial p} + U_{XN} {\partial N \over \partial p} = 1 \qquad U_{NN} {\partial N \over \partial p} + U_{XN} {\partial X \over \partial p} = 0$$` -- We have two equations and two unknowns so we can solve to get: `$${\partial N \over \partial p} = {-U_{XN} \over U_{XX}U_{NN} - U_{XN}^2} \qquad {\partial X \over \partial p} = {U_{NN} \over U_{XX}U_{NN} - U_{XN}^2}$$` --- # Environmental policy with leisure `$${\partial N \over \partial p} = {-U_{XN} \over U_{XX}U_{NN} - U_{XN}^2} \qquad {\partial X \over \partial p} = {U_{NN} \over U_{XX}U_{NN} - U_{XN}^2}$$` -- `\({\partial X \over \partial p}\)` is negative since `\(U\)` is concave `\((U_{NN} < 0, U_{XX}U_{NN} - U_{XN}^2 > 0)\)` -- The sign of `\({\partial N \over \partial p}\)` equals the sign on `\(-U_{XN}\)` -- If `\(X\)` and `\(N\)` are substitutes, `\(-U_{XN} > 0\)`, and leisure increases in the price of the consumption good -- If they are complements, `\(-U_{XN} < 0\)`, and leisure decreases in the price of the consumption good --- # Environmental policy with leisure If `\(N\)` is going on a picnic and `\(X\)` is hot dogs: `\(X\)` and `\(N\)` are complements -- If the price of hot dogs goes up 1000% then you will go on fewer picnics -- If `\(N\)` is going on a picnic and `\(X\)` is video games: `\(X\)` and `\(N\)` are substitutes -- If the price of video games go up 1000% then you will go on more picnics --- # Environmental policy with leisure The firm side of the economy will be the same as before: it produces `\(X\)` and emits `\(E\)` and for simplicity we will focus on the specific case: `$$\Pi = pX - C(X) \text{ where } E = \delta X$$` -- We will also assume: - `\(\delta=1\)` so we can use `\(E\)` and `\(X\)` interchangeably -- - `\(C'(X) > 0, C''(X) \geq 0\)` -- - The polluting industry's demand for labor is small relative to the entire economy, i.e. wages are effectively fixed for the household --- # Environmental policy with leisure Now lets solve for the social optimum: `$$\max_{X} W = \underbrace{U(X,N) + w\cdot(T-N) - pX - D(X)}_{\text{Consumer Utility}} + \underbrace{pX - C(X)}_{\text{Firm profit}}$$` To focus on interactions with non-regulated industries, we assume the regulator cannot determine the allocation of leisure and labor -- The consumer chooses `\(N\)` according to the FOC `\(U_N(X^*,N) = w\)` and then `\(Z\)` given the budget constraint `\(Z = w(T-N) - pX^*\)` -- One way you can think about this is as if the regulator imposes a quantity standard `\(X^*\)` and then a market price `\(p^*\)` arises which affects leisure demand --- # Environmental policy with leisure The FOC for the optimum is: `$$U_X - D'(X) - C'(X) + [U_N -w]{\partial N \over \partial X} = 0$$` where the last term captures the households .hi-blue[indirect] leisure response to the regulator's policy choice -- Given household utility maximization `\(U_N -w = 0\)` and the condition is then: `$$U_X - C'(X) = D'(X)$$` -- Marginal abatement cost `\((U_X - C'(X))\)` equals marginal damage `\((D'(X))\)` ! --- # Environmental policy with labor market distortions .hi[Elastic labor supply/leisure doesn't change the efficiency condition] -- Now suppose the government needs to raise revenue with a labor income tax `\(m\)` in order to finance government services -- It needs to finance a budget of size `\(G\)` -- The consumer's utility maximization problem is: `\begin{gather} \max_{X,Z,N} U = u(X,N) + Z - D(E) \\ \text{ subject to } (1-m)w(T-N) = Z + pX \end{gather}` Where the budget is scaled down by `\((1-m)\)` reflecting the income tax --- # Environmental policy with labor market distortions The FOCs are: `$$u_X = p \qquad u_N = (1-m)w$$` -- .hi-blue[The labor tax causes an inefficiency in the labor market:] the marginal value of leisure `\((u_N)\)` is no longer equal to the marginal value of labor `\((w)\)` -- `\(u_N < w\)` which means that the household overconsumes leisure -- Another way to see this is to re-write the FOC as: `$$u_N + mw = w$$` -- The tax `\(m\)` makes the consumer act as if there is a subsidy `\(mw\)` on leisure --- # Environmental policy with labor market distortions .pull-left[  ] .pull-right[ `\(w\)` is the perfectly elastic demand for labor `\(N^c\)` is how much leisure the consumer chooses, since `\((1-m)w < w\)` this is too much and induces DWL equal to `\(b\)` This is called .hi-red[excess burden] The tax raises revenues equal to `\(G\)`: `\(mw\times(T-N^c)\)` ] --- # Environmental policy with labor market distortions .pull-left[  ] .pull-right[ Suppose `\(N\)` and `\(X\)` are substitutes, and the regulator sets `\(X=X^*\)` where `\(X^* \rightarrow MAC = MD\)` This raises the price of `\(X\)`, shifts leisure demand to the .hi-red[right] New DWL is `\(c\)`, and government revenues are now only `\(d\)` Change in DWL from `\(X^c \rightarrow X^*\)` is indeterminant ] --- # Environmental policy with labor market distortions .pull-left[  ] .pull-right[ Fixing the pollution externality had two effects: 1. Indeterminant effect on the distortion in the labor market 2. Reduced the amount of revenue the government raised through labor taxation ] --- # Second-best environmental policy What does the optimal environmental policy look like if there's a pre-existing labor market distortion? -- The government has a budget `\(G\)` it needs to finance using labor taxes or emission taxes -- First let's consider the case where they can only raise revenue via a labor tax: this is non-revenue raising environmental policy --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy If we cannot raise revenue with the environmental policy, the regulator chooses `\(X\)` (and `\(E\)`) and the marginal tax rate `\(m\)` to maximize the sum of profit and utility, subject to the budget constraint -- The household consumes leisure according to the FOC: `$$U_N(\bar{X},N) = (1-m)w$$` given the regulator chose `\(X=\bar{X}\)` -- The firm obtains profits: `$$\Pi = p\bar{X} - C(\bar{X})$$` --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy The marginal value of the dirty good comes from the consumers inverse demand: `$$P(\bar{X}) = u_X(\bar{X},N)$$` which depends on `\(N\)` -- First we need to learn how the endogenous variables `\(N\)` and `\(p\)` vary with `\(\bar{X}\)` -- Let's do the comparative statics: differentiate the consumer's two FOCs with respect to `\(\bar{X}\)` --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy `\begin{align} u_{XX}\frac{\partial \bar{X}}{\partial \bar{X}} + u_{XN} \frac{\partial N}{\partial \bar{X}} &= \frac{\partial p}{\partial \bar{X}} \tag{X FOC} \\ u_{NX}\frac{\partial \bar{X}}{\partial \bar{X}} + u_{NN} \frac{\partial N}{\partial \bar{X}} &= 0 \tag{N FOC} \end{align}` `\(\frac{\partial \bar{X}}{\partial \bar{X}} = 1\)` so two equations, two unknowns; -- solving the system gives us: `\begin{align} \frac{\partial N}{\partial \bar{X}} &= - {u_{XN} \over u_{NN}} \\ \frac{\partial p}{\partial \bar{X}} &= {u_{XX}u_{NN} - u_{NN}^2 \over u_{NN}} < 0 \end{align}` `\(\text{sign}(\frac{\partial N}{\partial \bar{X}})\)` depends on whether `\(X\)` and `\(N\)` are complements or substitutes --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy Now that we know how the firm responds, return to the regulator's problem: `$$\max_{X,m} u(X,N) + Z - D(X) + pX - C(X) \quad \text{ s.t. } \quad wm(T-N) = G$$` -- We still need to decide what the government does with its revenue -- For convenience, we assume its returned to the consumer as a lump sum transfer so that: `$$Z=(1-m)w(T-N)-pX+G = (1-m)w(T-N)-pX+wm(T-N)\\ \Rightarrow Z = w(T-N) - pX$$` Income is unchanged for a given level of `\(N\)` under the tax and transfer --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy The regulator's problem is then: `$$\max_{X,m} u(X,N) + \underbrace{w(T-N)}_{Z} - D(X) - C(X) + \lambda[ wm(T-N) -G]$$` `\(\lambda\)` is called the .hi[marginal welfare cost of public funds] -- It measures the welfare cost of raising revenue by taxing labor -- What's the FOC for `\(m\)`? --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy The FOC for `\(m\)` is: `$$(u_N - w){\partial N \over \partial m} + \lambda \left[w(T-N)-wm {\partial N \over \partial m} \right] = 0$$` -- The household's optimal choice of `\(N\)` tells us that: `\(-mw = u_N - w\)`, we can substitute this in to get `\(\lambda\)`: -- `$$\lambda = \frac{w m {\partial N \over \partial m}}{w(T-N)-wm{\partial N \over \partial m}}$$` -- Whats the interpretation of the right hand side? --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy `$$\lambda = \frac{w m {\partial N \over \partial m}}{w(T-N)-wm{\partial N \over \partial m}}$$` -- The numerator is: -- The welfare cost of changing `\(m\)` -- Why? -- Higher `\(m\)` increases leisure demand `\({\partial N \over \partial m}\)` -- This times the .hi[tax wedge] `\(mw\)`, the gap between `\(w\)` and actual wage after taxes, gives us the change in excess burden (i.e. the DWL `\(d\)` in the graph) --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy `$$\lambda = \frac{w m {\partial N \over \partial m}}{w(T-N)-wm{\partial N \over \partial m}}$$` The denominator is: -- The change in tax revenue from higher `\(m\)` -- First term is the increase in revenue on the inframarginal hours worked -- Second term is the decrease in revenue from reduced hours worked - Similar to `\(P(X) + P'(X)X\)` for a monopolist --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy `$$\lambda = \frac{w m {\partial N \over \partial m}}{w(T-N)-wm{\partial N \over \partial m}}$$` Numerator and denominator combined give us: The change in welfare from a change in `\(m\)` -- over -- the change in tax revenue from a change in `\(m\)` -- This is the change in welfare from a change in tax revenue! --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy Now consider the FOC for `\(X\)`: `$$u_X - D'(X) - C'(X) + \left[ u_N - w - \lambda w m \right] {\partial N \over \partial X} = 0$$` -- Recall that we know: `$$-wm = u_N - w \qquad \frac{\partial N}{\partial X} = \frac{\partial N}{\partial p}\frac{\partial p}{\partial X}$$` So that we can substitute in the consumer leisure response: -- `$$u_X - C'(X) + (1+\lambda)\left[-{\partial N \over \partial p}\frac{\partial p}{\partial X}\right]wm = D'(X)$$` --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy `$$u_X - C'(X) + (1+\lambda)\left[-{\partial N \over \partial p}\frac{\partial p}{\partial X}\right]wm = D'(X)$$` -- What are each of the terms: -- `\(u_X - C'(X)\)` is the marginal abatement cost -- `\(D'(X)\)` is marginal damage -- `\((1+\lambda)\left[-{\partial N \over \partial p}\frac{\partial p}{\partial X}\right]wm\)` is new -- What's the interpretation? --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy `\((1+\lambda)\left[-{\partial N \over \partial p}\frac{\partial p}{\partial X}\right]wm\)` is called the .hi-blue[marginal interaction effect (MIE)] -- It tells us how the optimal choice of `\(X\)` departs from `\(X^*\)` because of the labor market distortion - Changing `\(\bar{X}\)` changes the price `\(p\)` which changes the household's optimal choice of `\(N\)` -- We need to account for this because the household's choice of leisure will respond to changes in `\(X\)` -- Suppose `\(N\)` and `\(X\)` are substitutes, what does this mean? --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy Substitutes means that `\(MIE > 0\)` -- The marginal social cost of abatement `\((MAC + MIE)\)` has become .hi-red[larger] -- Intuition? -- Its more socially costly to reduce `\(X\)` because the household increases `\(N\)` in response -- This .hi-red[exacerbates] the distortion caused by the income tax: the household was already undersupplying labor because of the income tax Now the household undersupplies labor to an even greater extent --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy Complements means that `\(MIE < 0\)` -- The marginal social cost of abatement `\((MAC + MIE)\)` has become .hi-blue[smaller] -- Intuition? -- Its less socially costly to reduce `\(X\)` because the household decreases `\(N\)` in response -- This .hi-blue[alleviates] the distortion caused by the income tax: the household was undersupplying labor because of the income tax, but now reducing `\(X\)` increases labor supply, shrinking the labor market DWL --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy .pull-left[  ] .pull-right[ `\(N^c \rightarrow N^*\)` when `\(p^c \rightarrow p^*\)` because of a change in `\(X\)` This is `\(-{\partial N \over \partial p}\frac{\partial p}{\partial X}\)` This reduces tax revenue by `\(e+c\)` which is just `$$(N^* - N^c)(w - (1-m)w) \\ = \underbrace{(N^* - N^c)}_{\approx -{\partial N \over \partial p}\frac{\partial p}{\partial X}}mw$$` ] --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy The marginal welfare cost of recovering the lost tax revenue (in order to maintain gov't revenues `\(G\)`) by raising `\(m\)` is `\(\lambda\)` giving us a total welfare cost of: `$$\lambda (N^* - N^c)mw$$` -- But `\((N^* - N^c)mw\)` also happens to be the increase in excess burden: its a .hi-red[direct welfare loss] in addition to the loss from having to increase `\(m\)` So the total welfare loss is: `$$(1+\lambda) (N^* - N^c)mw$$` The discrete version of MIE! --- # Findings recap If there's a government revenue constraint, and it can only be met with labor taxes then: 1. The marginal social cost of reducing `\(X\)` is higher if `\(X\)` and `\(N\)` are substitutes and lower if they are complements -- 2. The optimal level of pollution is larger if they are substitutes, lower if they are complements -- 3. The absolute value of the difference in first and second-best pollution levels is larger if: <!-- - Labor supply is more elastic --> - Demand for `\(X\)` is more inelastic - Elasticity of substitution between `\(N\)` and `\(X\)` is greater --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy We didn't actually show the last part yet -- First define: - `\(\varepsilon_x\)` as the own price elasticity `\({\frac{\partial X}{\partial p} \frac{p}{X}}\)` - `\(\eta_{XN}\)` as the elasticity of substitution between `\(X\)` and `\(N\)`: `\({\frac{\partial X}{\partial w} \frac{(1-m)w}{X}}\)` -- and take advantage of the .hi-blue[Slutsky symmetry condition] `\(\partial N / \partial p = \partial X / \partial w\)` We can then use these to substitute into the MIE and get: `$$MIE = (1+\lambda)\left[- {\eta_{XN} \over \varepsilon_X}\right]p {m \over 1-m}$$` --- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy `$$MIE = (1+\lambda)\left[- {\eta_{XN} \over \varepsilon_X}\right]p {m \over 1-m}$$` MIE bigger if `\(|\eta_{XN}|\)` is bigger (higher elasticity of substitution) -- MIE bigger if `\(|\varepsilon_X|\)` is smaller (more inelastic demand for `\(X\)`) <!-- -- --> <!-- Still need to show labor supply part --> <!-- --- --> <!-- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy --> <!-- Define the elasticity of labor supply .hi[at the after-tax wage] as: --> <!-- `$$\varepsilon_{L} = - {\partial N \over \partial w}{(1-m)w \over L}$$` --> <!-- -- --> <!-- And recognize that: --> <!-- `$${\partial N(p,(1-m)w) \over \partial m} = -w {\partial N(p,w) \over \partial w}$$` --> <!-- -- --> <!-- Combining these two gives: --> <!-- `$${\partial N \over \partial m}m = \varepsilon_{L} L m / (1-m)$$` --> <!-- --- --> <!-- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy --> <!-- Finally, put: --> <!-- `$${\partial N \over \partial m}m = \varepsilon_{L} L m / (1-m)$$` --> <!-- in --> <!-- `$$\lambda = \frac{w m {\partial N \over \partial m}}{w(T-N)-wm{\partial N \over \partial m}}$$` --> <!-- To get the welfare cost of public funds in terms of fundamental economic parameters --> <!-- --- --> <!-- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy --> <!-- We get: --> <!-- `$$\lambda = \frac{\varepsilon_{L}m/(1-m)}{1- \varepsilon_{L}m/(1-m)}$$` --> <!-- Side note: --> <!-- If labor is more elastic `\(\varepsilon_{L}\)` is larger, the numerator is larger, denominator is smaller `\(\rightarrow\)` MIE is bigger --> <!-- If labor supply is perfectly inelastic (vertical), there is no welfare cost of public funds! --> <!-- --- --> <!-- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy --> <!-- Finally use: --> <!-- `$$\lambda = \frac{\varepsilon_{L}m/(1-m)}{1- \varepsilon_{L}m/(1-m)}$$` --> <!-- to get: --> <!-- `$${m\over(1-m)} = {\lambda \over (1 + \lambda)\varepsilon_L}$$` --> <!-- and then substitute into our MIE expression: --> <!-- `$$MIE = (1+\lambda)\left[- {\eta_{XN} \over \varepsilon_X}\right]p {m \over 1-m}$$` --> <!-- --- --> <!-- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy --> <!-- Finally we will get: --> <!-- `$$MIE = \lambda {-\eta_{XN} \over \varepsilon_X} {p \over \varepsilon_L}$$` --> <!-- and substitute in our expression for `\(\lambda\)`: --> <!-- `$$\lambda = \frac{\varepsilon_{L}m/(1-m)}{1- \varepsilon_{L}m/(1-m)}$$` --> <!-- To get: --> <!-- `$$MIE = p\frac{m/(1-m)}{1- \varepsilon_{L}m/(1-m)} {-\eta_{XN} \over \varepsilon_X}$$` --> <!-- --- --> <!-- # Second-best non-revenue raising environmental policy --> <!-- `$$MIE = p\frac{m/(1-m)}{1- \varepsilon_{L}m/(1-m)} {-\eta_{XN} \over \varepsilon_X}$$` --> <!-- MIE is bigger and the absolute value of the difference in first and second-best pollution levels is larger if: --> <!-- <!-- 1. Labor supply is more elastic: `\(\varepsilon_{L}\)` bigger --> --> <!-- 2. Demand for `\(X\)` is more inelastic: `\(\varepsilon_X\)` smaller --> <!-- 3. Elasticity of substitution between `\(N\)` and `\(X\)` is greater: `\(\eta_{XN}\)` bigger in magnitude --> --- # Revenue raising environmental policy Now suppose that the government raises revenues via emission taxation or auctioning permits -- In our model the government has a revenue requirement: `$$G=wm(T-N) + \tau X$$` where `\(\tau\)` is the revenue per unit of the dirty good -- The regulator's problem is thus to select two tax rates: `\(m\)` and `\(\tau\)` -- For simplicity we still assume all tax revenues are returned lump sum to households --- # Revenue raising environmental policy First derive household spending on the numeraire good: `$$Z = (1-m)w(T-N)-pX+G = w(T-N)-pX+\tau X$$` where the second equality comes from substituting out the govt's budget constraint: `\(G = wm(T-N) + \tau X\)` -- The endogenous variables to be determined are: `\(X\)`, `\(N\)` and `\(p\)`, quantity of the dirty good, leisure, and the price of the dirty good -- These are a function of the govt's choice of `\(m\)` and `\(\tau\)` --- # Revenue raising environmental policy The household FOCs are: `$$u_X = p \qquad u_N = (1-m)w$$` and the firm FOC is: `$$C'(X) = p-\tau$$` -- MU = MC of consumption and leisure MR = MC of production -- Next, as usual, differentiate the FOCs wrt `\(\tau\)` --- # Revenue raising environmental policy This gives us 3 equations and 3 unknown partial derivatives: `$$u_{XX} {\partial X \over \partial \tau} + u_{XN}{\partial N \over \partial \tau} = {\partial p \over \partial \tau} \tag{Household X FOC}$$` `$$u_{XN} {\partial X \over \partial \tau} + u_{NN}{\partial N \over \partial \tau} = 0 \tag{N FOC}$$` `$$C''(X) {\partial X \over \partial \tau} = {\partial p \over \partial \tau} - 1 \tag{Firm X FOC}$$` Substitute and solve... --- # Revenue raising environmental policy Now solve for how the endogenous variables change in `\(\tau\)` -- `$${\partial X \over \partial \tau} = {u_{NN} \over H} < 0$$` `$${\partial N \over \partial \tau} = {-u_{XN} \over H} \lessgtr 0$$` `$${\partial p \over \partial \tau} = {u_{XX}u_{NN}-u_{XN}^2 \over H} > 0$$` where `\(H = u_{XX}u_{NN}-u_{XN}^2-C''(X)u_{NN} > 0\)` --- # Revenue raising environmental policy Now that we know how the endogenous variables change we can solve for the regulator's optimal taxes -- The regulator wants to maximize social welfare given the budget constraint: `\begin{gather} \max_{m,\tau} \underbrace{U(X,N) + Z - D(X)}_{\text{household utility}} + \underbrace{pX - C(X) - \tau X}_{\text{firm profit}} \\ \text{ subject to: } wm(T-N)+\tau X=G \end{gather}` -- Substitute in for Z from household spending: `$$Z = w(T-N)-pX+\tau X$$` And look at the `\(\tau\)` FOC --- # Revenue raising environmental policy `$$\left[u_X - C'(X) - D'(X)\right]{\partial X \over \partial \tau} + \left[\underbrace{u_N - w}_{-wm} - \lambda wm\right]{\partial N \over \partial \tau} + \lambda\left[X + \tau {\partial X \over \partial \tau} \right] = 0$$` -- Just follow the same steps as we did with the non-revenue raising case and divide by `\({\partial X \over \partial \tau}\)` to get: `$$\underbrace{u_x - C'(X)}_{MAC} + \underbrace{(1+\lambda)wm\left[-{\partial N \over \partial \tau}\bigg/{\partial X \over \partial \tau}\right]}_{MIE} + \underbrace{\lambda\left[\tau + X/{\partial X \over \partial \tau}\right]}_{MRE} = D'(X)$$` -- Since the tax is per unit, we have that: `\({\partial N \over \partial \tau}\big/{\partial X \over \partial \tau} = {\partial N \over \partial p}\big/{\partial X \over \partial p}\)`, MIE is similar in revenue and non-revenue raising contexts --- # Revenue raising environmental policy What is this new term, `\(MRE\)`: `\(\lambda\left[\tau + X/{\partial X \over \partial \tau}\right]\)`? -- It's the .hi-blue[marginal revenue effect]: the amount by which emission tax revenue changes when `\(X\)` changes, scaled by `\(\lambda\)`, the MC of public funds -- MRE changes the marginal social cost of `\(X\)` because changes in `\(\tau\)` affect how much revenue we need to raise with distorting labor taxation -- Let's get some intuition at the corner case of `\(\tau = 0\)` What's the sign of `\(MRE\)`? --- # Revenue raising environmental policy `\(MRE(\tau=0)\)`: `\(\quad \lambda\left[x/{\partial X \over \partial \tau}\right]\)` -- Here `\(MRE < 0\)` because `\({\partial X \over \partial \tau} < 0\)`, what's the intuition? -- `\(\rightarrow\)` the additional revenue from an increase in `\(\tau\)` lets us reduce labor taxes -- `\(\rightarrow\)` this reduces the distortionary tax in the labor market -- `\(\rightarrow\)` this reduces welfare losses in the labor market -- `\(\rightarrow\)` this reduction in welfare losses reduces the marginal social cost of reducing `\(X\)`, decreasing the optimal level of X --- # Revenue raising environmental policy Is MRE always negative? -- No -- We can get some intuition by making a substitution: -- `$$MRE \equiv \lambda\left[\tau + X\Big/{\partial X \over \partial \tau}\right] = \lambda\left[\tau + X\Big/{\partial X \over \partial p}\right] = \lambda\left[\tau + p/\varepsilon_{X}\right] = \lambda\tau\left[1 + 1/\varepsilon^\tau_{X}\right]$$` where `\(\varepsilon_{X} < 0\)` is the elasticity of demand for the dirty good and `\(\varepsilon^\tau_{X}\)` is the elasticity with respect to the tax --- # Revenue raising environmental policy `$$MRE \equiv \lambda\left[\tau + p/\varepsilon_{X}\right]$$` MRE is negative and increases total abatement if: -- - demand for dirty good is sufficiently inelastic `\((\varepsilon_{X}\)` small) -- - the price of the dirty good is sufficiently larger than the emission tax -- Why? --- # Revenue raising environmental policy .pull-left[  ] .pull-right[ .hi-blue[Demand for dirty good is sufficiently inelastic]: Suppose `\({\partial N \over \partial p}= 0\)` so `\(MIE = 0\)`, `\(C'(X) = c\)`, `\(D'(X) = d\)` Inelastic demand lets us raise more revenue from a small change in the tax ] --- # Revenue raising environmental policy .pull-left[  ] .pull-right[ Inelastic demand lets us raise more revenue from a small change in the tax This reduces the marginal social cost of reducing X Optimal X with revenue-raising is lower than without: `\(X^{RE} < X^*\)` ] --- # Revenue raising environmental policy .pull-left[  ] .pull-right[ We can also see that if `\(D'(X)\)` was very large, making `\(\tau\)` larger, we would be where `\(MRE > 0\)` ] --- # Double dividend Is there a prospect for a .hi[double dividend?] There is a .hi-blue[weak double dividend] if welfare is always greater when revenue raised via environmental taxation is used to reduced distortionary taxation rather than refunded lump sum - This is always true -- There is a .hi-red[strong double dividend] if the emission tax should always be set above the `\(MAC = MD\)` level, resulting in greater pollution reductions and more revenue raised - This may or may not be true --- # Double dividend When is there a strong double dividend? -- Recall: `\(MSC = MAC + MIE + MRE\)` -- To have a strong double dividend we need: -- `\(MSC < MAC \Rightarrow MIE + MRE < 0\)` -- This can happen via two pathways: **Pathway 1:** `\(MIE, MRE < 0\)` or, `\(MIE < 0\)` and `\(|MIE| > MRE > 0\)` -- In this pathway we have that leisure and the polluting good are .hi-blue[complements] -- Price of `\(X\)` rises from `\(\tau\)`, demand for leisure goes down, labor goes up --- # Double dividend Is this likely to be true? -- Not really: leisure and consumption are generally substitutes -- **Pathway 2:** `\(MIE > 0 > MRE\)`, `\(|MRE| > MIE\)` -- Here leisure and consumption are substitutes, but the revenue effect dominates the interaction effect -- Let's look at this pathway in more detail --- # Double dividend Again, assume `\(C'(X) = c\)`, this gives us that: `\begin{align} MIE = \lambda\left(- {\eta_{XN} \over \varepsilon_X} \right){p \over \varepsilon_L} \qquad MRE = \lambda\left({p \over \varepsilon_X} + \tau \right) \end{align}` where `$$\eta_{XN} = \overbrace{\frac{\partial X}{\partial w}\frac{(1-m)w}{X}}^{\text{cross-price elasticity}} \qquad \varepsilon_L = \overbrace{-\frac{\partial N}{\partial w} \frac{(1-m)w}{L}}^{\text{labor supply elasticity}} = \frac{\partial L}{\partial w} \frac{(1-m)w}{L}$$` --- # Double dividend Suppose N and X are *average substitutes* which means the negative cross-price elasticity is equal to the the labor supply elasticity `\(\eta_{XN} = \varepsilon_L\)` This is true if a 1% wage increase gives a `\(\eta_{XN}\)`% `\(= \varepsilon_L\)`% spending increase -- Then: `$$MIE = \lambda\left(-{p\over \varepsilon_X} \right) < \lambda\left({p \over \varepsilon_X} + \tau \right) = MRE$$` `\(\Rightarrow\)` we shouldn't expect a strong double dividend because MIE + MRE = `\(\lambda \tau > 0\)` --- # Revenue raising environmental policy .pull-left[  ] .pull-right[ Even though there isn't a double dividend, MIE and MRE .hi-red[still matter] for the optimal second-best pollution level Optimal pollution `\(X^{GE}\)` is larger than first-best `\(X^*\)`, but less than the level without revenue recycling `\(X^{IE}\)` ] --- # Policy instruments with labor market distortions How do environmental policy instruments work when we have the distortionary labor tax? -- Taxes and auctioned permits are easy, just set the tax equal to: `$$\tau = D'(X) + MIE + MRE$$` or the number of permits equal to `\(X^{GE}\)` to obtain the optimal second-best outcome -- The regulator obtains revenues `\(\tau X^{GE} = \sigma x^{GE}\)` and recycles it to reduce labor taxation -- What about freely allocated permits or command and control? --- # Policy instruments with labor market distortions This would lead to the same *environmental* outcome, but not achieve the the welfare maximizing outcome Why? -- Free allocation and command and control do not generate revenues that let us reduce labor taxation -- Setting `\(X^{GE} < X^c\)` raises the price of `\(X\)`, increases leisure, and reduces revenues via the interaction effect -- Without revenue from permits or taxes, the optimal pollution level is higher