Because the reason we can estimate ideology like this is because:
We tend to follow people we agree with
How come…?
Why does all this matter?
But is any of this… true?
Three questions:
How do we select among range of (both political and non-political) information?
But is any of this… true?
Three questions:
How do we select among range of (both political and non-political) information?
Why do we select into (some) political information (and not other)?
But is any of this… true?
Three questions:
How do we select among range of (both political and non-political) information?
Why do we select into (some) political information (and not other)?
How does situation now compare to before (social media)?
News consumption is small
How do we select among range of (both political and non-political) information?
News consumption is small
News consumption is small
News consumption is small
Compare to…
News consumption is small
News consumption is small
Shows importance of:
Considering information ecosystem
Keeping in mind the denominator not just the numerator
Most people aren’t settled
How do we select among range of (both political and non-political) information?
Most people aren’t settled
“Most people…are simply not so rigid in their information-seeking behavior that they will expose themselves only to ideas that they find congenial” (Zaller 1992)
Instead: RAS model…
Most people aren’t settled
RAS = Receive-Accept-Sample
Receive: Opinions derive from elites (and more politically aware, more likely to receive)
Accept: Less politically aware, more likely to accept conflicting information
Sample: Decisions based on whatever is salient at that time
So… only the most politically aware are very rigid?
Most people aren’t settled
Dissonance is costly
Why do we select into (some) political information (and not other)?
Dissonance is costly
Dissonance is costly
“The existence of appreciable dissonance and the consequent pressure to reduce it will lead to the seeking out of information which will introduce consonances and to the avoidance of information which will increase the already existing dissonance” (Festinger 1957)
Implications:
Extremely large dissonance –> seeking out more dissonant information
Extremely low dissonance –> seeking out more consonant information
i.e., non-linear relationship between dissonance and selective exposure
Dissonance is costly?
But is this the reason we follow people we agree with?
Trust as alternative explanation
Why do we select into (some) political information (and not other)?
We might follow consonant opinion because we find it more trustworthy…
In other words, people select into news they believe is balanced/credible.
Trust as alternative explanation
So what…?
But why does this all matter for the internet and social media?
Post-broadcast democracy
Post-broadcast democracy
High-choice media environments –> Divisions in political knowledge
Some very aware 🤓
Some very unaware 😴
#republic
#republic
Online media environments –> Selection into homogeneous groups
This threatens democratic deliberation: foundation stone of healthy democracy.
#republic
Sunstein emphasizes threat of:
people’s growing power to filter what they see, and also providers’ growing power to filter for each of us, based on what they know about us (Sunstein 2017)